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 Post subject: Team Analysis
PostPosted: Tue Aug 21, 2007 6:27 am 
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<!--quoteo(post=363602:date=Aug 21 2007, 11:27 AM:name=TrainerIfeltapop)--><div class='quotetop'>QUOTE(TrainerIfeltapop @ Aug 21 2007, 11:27 AM) [snapback]363602[/snapback]</div><div class='quotemain'><!--quotec-->
14 team –non-ppr, standard scoring, 4 points for passing TDs, QB/RB/RB/WR/WR/WR/TE/K/DEF

Team E – Cyotes
1.05 – J. Addai
2.10 – R. Wayne
3.05 – A. Boldin
4.10 – A. Peterson
5.05 – M. Clayton
6.10 – C. Cooley
7.05 – DJ Hackett
8.10 – B. Rothelisberger
9.05 – A. Peterson
10.10 – JP Losman
11.05 – T. Hunt
12.10 – T. Williamson
13.05 – L. Booker
14.10 – Oakland
15.05 – R. Longwell

Solid pick of B. Rothlisberger in the 8th. He was my target in that round. I<b> think both Boldin and R. Wayne was a bit of a reach. R. Wayne especially with Addai as the 1st round pick. :cough homer cough:</b> He is a solid pick, but I can’t take him ahead of TO or Holt. Waited a tad too long for #3 RB and I thought the rookie A. Peterson in the 4th round was a bit too early, but it was slim pickins for the #2 RB after taking WRs in the 2nd and 3rd , so I can’t fault him for the pick. I would have done the same. Mark Clayton sprained his ankle in Sunday’s preseason game, but we have yet heard of the severity.

Best pick: Big Ben
Worst pick: 2nd and 3rd round WR reaches before #2 RB
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I know those 2 picks will be called homerism and I am guilty of that but as much as I love Holt his injuries really concern me, TO is a guy I hate and I can honestly say I thought he was picked already, that was a mental mistake but I can live with that.

By the time of my 2nd pick I was going after TJ but thought (stupid me) that he was going to be there next pick, I guess I missed what pick I was as I have been picking a lot in the ends, but those are picks I really like and you cant blame for those reaches (season will do that).

You know from PUOSU that I like that combo, I know Harrison is still the main guy in Indy and I am not completely sold on Addai but having that combo at some leagues now, I try to stay as clos as I can to some strategy even if it bites me in the end.

I hope the rookie Adrian Peterson is the real deal, I was a doubter and now I might be drinking that Kool Aid but I hope he can produce as a #2 RB in this league.

As with anything I have many doubts and as with any team I hope I made the right decisions, only time will tell, good work people and great analysis trainer.

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 21, 2007 8:03 am 
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I know those 2 picks will be called homerism and I am guilty of that but as much as I love Holt his injuries really concern me, TO is a guy I hate and I can honestly say I thought he was picked already, that was a mental mistake but I can live with that.

By the time of my 2nd pick I was going after TJ but thought (stupid me) that he was going to be there next pick, I guess I missed what pick I was as I have been picking a lot in the ends, but those are picks I really like and you cant blame for those reaches (season will do that).

You know from PUOSU that I like that combo, I know Harrison is still the main guy in Indy and I am not completely sold on Addai but having that combo at some leagues now, I try to stay as clos as I can to some strategy even if it bites me in the end.

I hope the rookie Adrian Peterson is the real deal, I was a doubter and now I might be drinking that Kool Aid but I hope he can produce as a #2 RB in this league.

As with anything I have many doubts and as with any team I hope I made the right decisions, only time will tell, good work people and great analysis trainer.
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No doubt. I was just poking a little bit. You have a thing for #2 guys don't you? <img src="/images/emoticons/icon_lol.gif" style="vertical-align:middle" emoid=":icon_lol:" border="0" alt="icon_lol.gif" />

Peterson was not a bad pick for his upside were you were drafting, but to draft him at #2 I thought your #3 should have come within the next two rounds.

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Good analysis from all the teams, thanks for taking the time to do it. With Clark I feeled a bit worried I'd land a TE like a Greg Olsen or someone of that caliber so I panic'd a bit and am hoping Manning finds more of a spot in the Offense for Clark this year. Here's to hoping.
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Sometimes you have to say screw it, I'm taking a guy early to make sure he is there. I did it with J. Lewis and was happy to get him. However, I ignored the little panic button on my QB and ate it.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Aug 21, 2007 8:11 am 
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<b>No doubt. I was just poking a little bit. You have a thing for #2 guys don't you? <img src="/images/emoticons/icon_lol.gif" style="vertical-align:middle" emoid=":icon_lol:" border="0" alt="icon_lol.gif" /> </b>

Peterson was not a bad pick for his upside were you were drafting, but to draft him at #2 I thought your #3 should have come within the next two rounds.
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Lol I think I do as long as they can produce as #1, this seems to be a tendency that might not be the best thing but I am getting used to it.

I was tempted to pick Deangelo in the next round, I really was but I am really high on Clayton this season (even if he injured last weekend), and for that spot I really could not fin anyone else worth it, I think I have some good WRs, I hope they can be enough and help me with my (I recognize) horrible depth at RB.


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PostPosted: Tue Aug 21, 2007 8:43 am 
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Thanks as always trainer..........

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Aug 21, 2007 11:23 am 
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I did rank the drafts, but decided not to with the autodrafts. Mostly I didn't want to rank the autodrafts higher than a few guys who where there. <img src="/images/emoticons/smile.gif" style="vertical-align:middle" emoid=":)" border="0" alt="smile.gif" />

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First: Green Bay - I don't think it was too big of a reach. Atlanta and CHicago's offenses are worse off, maybe Minnesota's as well. GB was the 3rd highest point scoring defense last year. I was targeting them for a round or two later, but I wanted to grab Reuben Droughns at 8.13. I didn't really have a backup and while I was trying to debate reaching on just picking up Curry or Porter right there the time was running out and I took GB. I'd rather be stuck reaching for someone I wanted, then SOL with an autopick.

I was disappointed in not getting a better #3 RB. I like Mike Bell, he'll see touches, and Henry might get banged up, but I usually like to have a starter at #3. They just went quick, and I wanted to get a solid WR corps that scores TD's and have upside. I wanted to take sleeper WR's with big play potential late and starting jobs late, and have solid starters waiting. Whether I reached, or missed out, I still like every player that I drafted for one reason or another. Usually you get a couple that you think you made a mistake on, and while I think I could have employed a different strategy here or there to maximize value, i'm definitely happy with the overall product.

BTW, I was targeting Marion Barber for #2 unless some bigtimer fell. MB3 always lands with Jamal, Betts, Norwood, Green. He had 14 TD's last year, and will get the ball even more. More yardage, same amount of TD's IMO.

Thanks for the writeup, I love seeing another view. Really helps a bit with future drafts. Last one is tonight...money league, PPR and return yards. Hello Reggie and MJD nice to meet ya...
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I think most would agree that GB would have been available later, but since you were thinking of targeting Droughns, you made the much better pick. <img src="/images/emoticons/icon_lol.gif" style="vertical-align:middle" emoid=":icon_lol:" border="0" alt="icon_lol.gif" />

We have a difference of opinion on Wrs vs Rbs. If one of your RBs go down it's much more costly to find a replacement than picking up a WR on the WW. Also, by stacking up on Rbs, if another owner's RB goes down, that owner can hold a startying RB for ransome.

I agree with reaching on someone you want than taking what is supposed to be there, but you don't like. I did the same with J. Lewis.

You took the upside with MB3 over a more clear situation. Can not argue, just said I would have perferred not having the headache.

Good Luck! <img src="/images/emoticons/Tiarzvei.gif" style="vertical-align:middle" emoid=":thumbup:" border="0" alt="Tiarzvei.gif" />

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Aug 21, 2007 1:20 pm 
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Nice job with the team analysis, trainer.

Any chance you could just give us your top 3 teams? <img src="/images/emoticons/wink.gif" style="vertical-align:middle" emoid=";)" border="0" alt="wink.gif" />


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PostPosted: Tue Aug 21, 2007 5:11 pm 
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I would just like it known that I wasnt actually at the draft. There is NO way I would take my second WR before my first RB. Especially if that WR was Randy Moss.

Thanks for the effort put into this trainer <img src="/images/emoticons/Tiarzvei.gif" style="vertical-align:middle" emoid=":thumbup:" border="0" alt="Tiarzvei.gif" />
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Thanks for the draft analysis. It is much appreciated for the effort and time you
put into it. I'm really looking forward to playing this thing out this
season. It will be fun to compare at the end of the season, some of the
preseason thoughts here.


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Aug 22, 2007 4:11 am 
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<div class='quotemain'>
Nice job with the team analysis, trainer.

Any chance you could just give us your top 3 teams? <img src="/images/emoticons/wink.gif" style="vertical-align:middle" emoid=";)" border="0" alt="wink.gif" />
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That's how I was going to do it by using a point scale that's been compiled from many internet sites which would rank the teams, I just haven't had the time. And there's trades/add-drops happening already.

Thanks Trainer for your input.

Here's a sample of something I did in another league...

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Well here I go again. Thanks to Randall getting this started but as promised here are my rankings. My rankings are based not only on my projections but with the use of several other tools as well. I looked at each team and used the best lineup they could field overall based on those projections and tools. The numbers are the total points the best starting lineup will score over 16 weeks and then the average per week. This system, as crazy as it may seem, has been pretty damn accurate over the years as after each draft I'm in I use it. For just one example, I did my rankings for my local last year and 3 out of the 4 top teams I ranked made the playoffs and the team I had ranked 2nd won the Championship. Here they are...

1) BS Miscreant- 2,033.8= 127.11
2) Irish- 2,004.1= 125.26
3) Txfowlplay- 1,996.31=124.77
4) Cincy Slam- 1,940.35=121.27
5) Randall- 1,939.52=121.22
6) Broncos- 1,928.78=120.55
7) RaiderSteve- 1,917.85=119.87
8) Thews- 1,869.65=116.85
9) Half Hen- 1,861.45=116.34
10) BigMike- 1,855.8 = 115.99
11) Avernus- 1,828 = 114.25
12) Wolverines- 1,808.35=113.02

<b>BS</b>- Having LT is a hugh advantage and will be tough for us to overcome and is mainly the reason he holds this top spot. Having Owens and Wayne certainly helps the cause though. If Young can build on last year and be consistent and Winslow can stay healthy, BS with be the Practice Squad Champ. Let's not forget he has a Top 3 defense as well.

<b>Irish</b>- When you first look at this team, you're not bowled over like with some of the others. However, with 2 Top RBs (possible 1st rounders) in Parker and Brown, Housh who catches alot of balls and can rank in the Top 10 at WR, Roethlisberger who was a Top 10 QB last year during a terrible year, the Top TE in Gates the Top Defense with the Bears and possible Top 15-20 WR sleepers in Mark Clayton and Santonio Holmes this team is in the Top Tier in this league and should make a run at things. If those sleeper WRs don't pan out, Big Ben eats pavement again and/or R. Brown duds again it could be just an average year.

<b>Txfowlplay</b>- Here's one of those teams that I was talking about when I said good teams that jump out at you. Thanks to Broncos and BM, SJax falls right into his hands with the #4 pick (ridiculous). He backs that up with Edge and the combo of Harrison and Walker at WR with the scary thought of DJax as the #3 WR. Add a Top Tier QB in Brady to the mix and this team is very well rounded. However, with a so-so TE and middle of the pack defense he holds a close #3 spot in the league instead of being #1.

<b>Cincy Slammers</b>- Has a team similar to mine in that it doesn't jump out at you but he's solid all around with a slightly lesser defense and TE. Westy and a healthy Benson should fair just fine and with the possible mix-and-match options at WR with Roy, Coles (catches a ton of passes), Ward and S. Moss. Nice TE, possible Top 5, in V. Davis as well as being solid with Leinart and the Steelers but not spectacular, this team will be in the hunt as well.

<b>Randall</b>- Rounds out the Top 5 teams in the league. Gets an absolute steal with LJ at #8 (hopefully for him LJ plays) to pair with McGahee. Grabbing a Top Tier QB in Palmer who could challenge Peyton as the best FF QB was pretty sweet. Fitz is a solid WR to have but you have to hope they don't run the ball too much in Zona causing a drop in catches and yards. However Zona should be down in alot of games and have to throw. Edwards and Jennings are possible breakout guys, as long as they can stay healthy but both play on sub-par teams. TE is a major area of concern for this team as Crumpler isn't healthy, having trouble with the knees and without Vick he may have lost a little luster this year. Having the Packers at defense won't help matters as they are just middle tier.

<b>Broncos</b>- Kicked himself in the rear to start the draft by not taking SJax, a move that could've put him in the Top 5 at #4. However, he does have Gore and P. Manning. The rest of the team is sort of high risk- high reward types. R. Moss won't catch a ton of passes, maybe 70-80 (this is PPR) but should make up for that with TDs. Branch and Hackett should be fine as the #2 and 3. He better hope Jacobs can be the RB the Giants need him to be and Shockey has to stay healthy otherwise he'll be in trouble at TE. He's got a Top 10 defense in the Panthers.

<b>RaiderSteve</b>- One of those teams that passed up on LJ and instead got SA. This is a PPR league and SA does not catch the ball so he better hope that SA scores 20-25 tds. Grabbed T. Jones who I like alot and got Holt as his #1 WR who will catch a ton of balls. However, after Holt he has some serious question marks at WR with Glenn, Bruce and Demetrius Williams, that's trouble. Romo should be solid but not spectacular. Gets Gonzo at TE with the hope that he can be stellar again and also grabs the only other Top Tier defense in the Ravens. Gonzo and the Ravens saved this team from sinking to the bottom.

<b>Thews</b>- As promised by this man he certainly had a very interesting draft. He absolutely hosed himself at RB, absolutely!! He needs D. Williams to be a stud and T Bell to be the workhorse in Detroit, which still wouldn't be great. However, at the expense of the RB position he grabs the best WR trio this league has to offer in S. Smith, CJ and Colston. He has a very solid TE in Heap and just needs him to stay healthy. His QB spot is also one that might be a head-scratcher but I think he got a guy there worth watching in Cutler as he could be hugh for him. At defense the Bengals and Colts will be terrible but he does have the Broncos who are a Top 10 defense and I can see them rise as the season progresses. This is a strange team that could make some noise but probably needs to make a trade for a RB to do so.

<b>Half Hennessy</b>- A solid team with McNabb, Addai, Rudi and Lee Evans. I also like Brown and Cotchery as the #2 and 3 WRs. TE is weak (Watson and E. Johsnon) but he has two very solid defenses in the Chargers, Top 5, and Cowboys, Top 10. His backup QB is Rivers and that will be a help for when McNabb goes down yet again. He also scooped up Norwood, however that pick was probably a mistake as he should've gone with a WR there because Norwood won't be starting for him and he could've gotten a better #2 WR. (When he picked Norwood he was probably half asleep being from Australia and keeping odd hours just to complete the draft).

<b>BigMike</b>- Here's a guy that made most of his draft selections on the fly on the road. And you can tell. He took Bush at #3 overall allowing SJax to slide right by. Then his other RBs are the rookie Lynch and Caddy, he better hope one of them steps up! His WRs are also just average with Burress, Chambers, Jenkins, Mason, Reg Williams so he'll be flip-flopping those weekly. He did however, grab Brees at QB and a Top 5 Def. in the Jags. Witten should also be a solid TE for him.

<b>Avernus</b>- Here's a team that I thought after doing the rankings and taking a first look, thought it was wrong. But then I realized where he fell short. He has a very nice QB in Kitna that just needs to cut down on the TOs. Pretty solid RBs in Maroney, if he can stay healthy and MJD, also made a sneaky grab with Holmes, we'll see what happens there. He has a nice 1-2 punch in Boldin and AJ and solid #3 WRs in Henderson and the super sleeper V. Jackson. His TE is middle of the pack with LJ. Smith who struggles with injuries from time-to-time (speak of the devil-he was carted off the field today after re-aggravating his spots hernia problem which he just had surgery on). Heres' the kicker (no not the position) his defenses are terrible, both of them, (Skins and Rams) and they in turn dragged his team down.

<b>Wolverines</b>- Rounding out the Top 12. Bulger makes for a great QB and he has a terrific schedule, needs to stay healthy. Henry is a solid #1 RB but that's where all the fun stops in regard to RBs. He has Portis who can't shake the knee problems and guess what... he never grabbed his handcuff in Betts. YIKES!!! After that it's Dunn, Droughns and A. Peterson (nope not the Viking... the Bear). At WR he grabbed Driver but after that it's Galloway (who could fair well with Garcia), K. Curtis, Curry and Crayton. Sounds like musical chairs at the WR position every week. He did grab Cooley who I think is terrific and could finish in the Top 3 at TE. He only has middle of the pack defenses in the Eagles and worse yet the Niners.

Remember fellas this is only one man's opinion along with the aid of many resources. The jabs included in my descriptions were meant as light-hearted fun jabs, not to start controversy and verbal arguments. Also remember that it's a long season and a lot can happen; injuries, WW moves, trades, etc. to change the outcome. We can all make guesses as to what teams we like and think will do best but in the end there's a lot of luck involved. It should be a great fantasy year and this is a terrific league as it is chock full of great guys.
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